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NFL Wild Card predictions: Falcons to end Rams resurgence
The NFL is a quarterback-driven league, and of the 12 quarterbacks in the playoffs this year, only three — the New England Patriots’ Tom Brady, the Pittsburgh Steelers’ Ben Roethlisberger and Drew Brees of the New Orleans Saints — have won a Super Bowl.
Of the nine remaining other teams, only two — the Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons — have quarterbacks who have even played in a Super Bowl.
That new blood has created excitement in new places, especially in Buffalo as the Bills are in the playoffs for the first time since 1999. The Los Angeles Rams also ended a long playoff drought, reaching the postseason for the first time since 2004. Meanwhile, the Jacksonville Jaguars are in the playoffs for the first time since 2007.
Playoff experience is invaluable and could prove to be the difference — especially on opening weekend. Here Omnisport’s Ron Clements makes his predictions for Wild Card weekend.
Tennessee Titans (9-7) at Kansas City Chiefs (10-6)
The Titans got into the postseason thanks to quarterback Marcus Mariota coming through in the clutch late in a Week 17 win over the Jaguars to complete a season sweep. The reward is a trip to Kansas City, where the Chiefs went 6-2. The Titans won at Arrowhead Stadium late in the 2016 season, but this year they will have to contain electrifying rookie running back Kareem Hunt to repeat that feat.
Hunt led the NFL in rushing with 1,327 yards, averaging 4.9 yards per carry. The Titans defense ranked fourth against the run, so it should be strength versus strength. The Titans will be without starting running back DeMarco Murray because of a knee injury and will go with Derrick Henry to carry the load.
Turnovers will be key. Mariota has been intercepted 15 times this season while Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith tossed just five interceptions. Smith is the first quarterback in NFL history to pass for at least 3,000 yards and throw fewer than 10 interceptions in five consecutive seasons.
While Mariota has the Titans in the playoffs for the first time in his three-year career, Smith is a playoff veteran and will get the Chiefs into the division round.
Prediction: Chiefs 23, Titans 16
Atlanta Falcons (10-6) at Los Angeles Rams (11-5)
Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan was the NFL MVP in 2016 while leading the league’s highest-scoring team to an NFC championship. The Rams were the NFL’s highest-scoring team this season, led by running back Todd Gurley, who is a contender to be NFL MVP.
Gurley led the NFL in rushing going into the final week but did not play and finished 22 yards behind the Chiefs’ Hunt for the rushing title. He did lead the NFL with 2,093 scrimmage yards and 19 touchdowns and joined Hall of Famers O.J. Simpson and Marshall Faulk as the only players in league history with at least 2,000 scrimmage yards, 10 rushing touchdowns and more than five touchdown receptions in a single season.
As impressive as the Rams have been this season, turning things around under first-year coach Sean McVay, they have not been to the playoffs since 2004. The Falcons are postseason-weathered, having gone to the Super Bowl last season, and that experience will prove pivotal.
Prediction: Falcons 35, Rams 31
Buffalo Bills (9-7) at Jacksonville Jaguars (10-6)
The Bills end the NFL’s longest postseason drought, making the playoffs for the first time in nearly 20 years. The Jaguars limp into the playoffs for the first time in a decade on the back of successive defeats.
Both teams have been wildly inconsistent, but the most reliable unit has been the Jaguars defense. The Jags were second in total defense and were the best in the league against the pass in 2017. Though Bills quarterback Tyrod Taylor has been careful with the ball, he might have a tough time against the “Sacksonville” pass rush.
The Jaguars have won five straight at home while the Bills were just 3-5 on the road. Jaguars quarterback Blake Bortles, despite being terrible on the road, has seven touchdowns without an interception in his last three home games.
Prediction: Jaguars 20, Bills 17
Carolina Panthers (11-5) at New Orleans Saints (11-5)